Volume 1, Issue 7

 

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Challenge of an Aging Workforce

There is no denying that the workforce in the U.S. is growing older. Baby boomers are approaching retirement age, and the effects on both organizations and individuals are beginning to be felt. Unfortunately, neither organizations nor boomers seem to be preparing for this.

According to the chart on the right, we are seeing the average age of the workforce rise. Between now and 2015, the highest growth rate in the workforce will be among workers ages 55 to 64, with a dearth of younger workers to replace them. This trend is likely to create huge worker shortages if employers don't find ways to hold on to their older employees, according to a survey done by AARP.

As the average age of the workforce rises, companies will face a tremendous job-mapping challenge. Job mapping matches jobs to people based on tenure and experience. So, as the workforce ages, it will become more and more out of sync with matched jobs unless employers redefine job mapping in light of real-world demographics. According to the chart below, growth in employment will dip into negative growth soon.

Companies should look at health benefits and pensions in relation to their aging workforce. Companies can be damaged when these employees are not retained properly. When organizations get in tight corners, they let elderly workers go under favorable circumstances, but it leaves great holes in the knowledge base and experience of the organization – a loss of corporate memory. HR professionals should consider the forecasts and look at their practices with regard to their mature workforce. Evaluating job sharing, flexibility, health care and other benefits will be critical as the workforce gains in years.

A survey released by AARP indicates a record number of workers plan to remain in the labor force well beyond the "normal" retirement age. Jeff Love, director of research at AARP has said that this is something the organization has never seen before. "Nearly half [45 percent] said they were going to work into their 70s or later!"

The reasons for this vary. Almost 22% of the workers have said that it’s because of money. For years we have heard about the lack of savings in the U.S., and now it’s coming home to roost. As companies move away from defined benefit pension plans and towards 401k plans, the onus is on the individual to provide for their retirement. The recent wave of downsizing severely affected many retirement plans as people lost jobs before their plans vested.

Four trends affecting individual retirement programs include:

Increased life expectancy – Medical advances are helping to raise life expectancy projections. The amount of time your retirement money needs to last is growing every year.

Rising cost of healthcare –While healthcare advancements enable us to live longer lives, they also mean that you will likely be spending more on healthcare than you initially planned.

Evolution of corporate retirement plans – Traditionally, defined benefit pension plans guaranteed retired employees a certain level of income for life. These plans are gradually being replaced by plans that transfer much of the responsibility and the risk of retirement investing away from employers and onto employees.

Social Security uncertainties – As the baby boomer generation leaves the work force, the Social Security system will come under strain. Far fewer workers will contribute to the system and many more recipients will be drawing benefits.

The impact of these trends will affect how workers will plan for their retirement. Besides working longer before retiring, individuals should consider the following:

First, individuals--rather than the pension plan sponsor--increasingly will have to manage their retirement assets and bear the risk of investment losses.

Second, since most retirees' non-Social Security retirement income will be distributed as a lump sum or in periodic payments (from a defined contribution plan or IRA) rather than as a regular paycheck for life (from a defined benefit plan), retirees will need either to purchase an annuity from an insurance company or carefully manage their individual rate of spending in order to avoid outliving their assets.